Monday, September 22, 2008

Obama: start of the surge?

The narrowing has turned into a lead for Barack Obama in the polls.

FiveThirtyEight: (20/09/08) Electoral College Vote at 315.5/226.5 in Obama's favour, compared with 261/277 last week. The popular vote is at 50.3%/47.9%.

RealClearPolitics (21/09/08) has a 47.6% to 45.5% lead to Obama based on an average of 10 national polls. This is reversal of last week's. The polls are of both Registered Voters (RV) and Likely Voters (LV).

Today's latest prices at Intrade: Obama 50.8, McCain 47.7.

If Sarah Palin starts having real media conferences and answering hard questions, things could change. Which way is anyone's guess.

For some other websites try Perspctv and Pollster.com Thanks to Possum for the links.

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